04 December 2016

Link round-up for 4 December 2016

It's time for ducks on ice.

Cheer yourself up with some baby elephant videos.

Medieval warrior pwns drone.

They're escaping!

I defy you not to chuckle at dog vs. wall.

There are no penises in any of these pictures.

This comparison probably offended the pelican.

Check out a Star Wars blooper reel.

Bailey's Buddy has a humor round-up (I liked the water buffalo).

Tillie Walden has a happy, spacey view of life.

I think whoever drew this comic-book cover knew exactly what he was doing.

Here's how religion works in one cartoon.

Most movie aliens are not well thought out.

Satanists are the good guys.

Choose the right Bible quote.

The savage Vikings were far more fabulous than you think.

A cat could make life more interesting.

Gays and spelling come under attack in Topeka.

Here's how to deal with critical people.

Legal marijuana is good for America.  What's evil is this kind of travesty of justice.

Bill de Blasio is a leader for these times.

40% of employees are seeking to leave their jobs, and management is the problem.

Texas is considering a truly horrific anti-gay law.

Here's some advice for Trumpanzees that they should find familiar.

Facebook's "community standards" are a disgrace.

Religious nutters are freaking out over another innocuous commercial.  No wonder they tend to ruin the holidays.

If people hate atheists, it's because we remind them of the truth.

This is an example of the kind of smug nonsense that provokes people to vote for someone like Trump.  The world can't re-train millions of truck drivers and assembly-line workers to become software coders and "brand influencers".  The real solution is basic income.

Here's a suggestion for preventing identity theft.

We need to tell stories, not just recite facts.

Bad people are bad -- very bad.  They should remember we can see them.

A journalist responds to Trumpanzee hate mail.

Wingnuts seek to destroy history.

How pervasive was medieval anti-Semitism?  This pervasive.

The Catholic Church scams the Norwegian government for millions.

Icelanders believe smart.

A top European Union bureaucrat begs member states not to hold referendums on leaving -- since he knows damn well how people would vote.

Poland is testing solar-powered bike lanes.

Good riddance to bad rubbish (found via Fair and Unbalanced).

Sunny North Africa is becoming a colossus of solar power.  But on domestic violence, attitudes remain backward.

We've entered The Twilight Zone.

Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain (found via Squatlo).  Was it worth it?

Trump is already making his mark on international relations.  Meet his new foreign-policy adviser.

If things turn nasty, don't make excuses.  But it may not be that nasty.

Some Republicans may not want to abolish the filibuster.

Don't give up the fight on global warming.

It's stupid to protest Trump.

The Electors' right to vote their conscience is part of the intended design of the Electoral College.

Florida, too, may hold a recount. And no, the push in Pennsylvania isn't over.

Some wingnuts suspect Ivanka Trump of being a closet liberal.  And maybe they have a point.

Trumpanzees are starting to realize they were conned (found via Progressive Eruptions).

Mattis as Defense Secretary could have an upside.

Conflicts are arising in Trump's inner circle, and he's not taking it well.

Government should get out of health care, except.....

The Spanish civil war offers some insights into our situation (read the comments too).

P M Carpenter is in the crosshairs of the Republican threats to Medicaid.

We've been here before, and Pelosi handled it.

The recount controversy has again provoked Trump to reveal his true self.  Maybe we need a nationwide audit.  Here's how voter disenfranchisement works.

Trump is already at war.

02 December 2016

There's a phrase missing.....

.....from our discussions of the Electoral College.  The phrase is "minority rule".

As the EC comes under scrutiny for delivering the Presidency to Trump despite his large margin of loss (now approaching 2,500,000) in the actual vote, the wingnuts have been trotting out defenses of it, of which this example is fairly typical.  It usually boils down to saying that without the EC, the vast rural interior of the country could never get its choice for President and the coasts/cities/liberals would dominate just because they have a larger population.

This is an argument for minority rule, and we should call it that.  It's not different in essence from defending apartheid on the grounds that it protected South Africa from being dominated by blacks "just because" there were more of them.  30% of the US population is black or Latino; if our system were somehow rigged to give their votes more weight than those of the other 70%, such a system could be defended on the grounds that it protected blacks and Latinos from being dominated by the more numerous whites.  Any plan to allow a minority to outvote a majority could be defended on the same grounds, and they're all fundamentally alike.

Protection for minority rights is necessary, and the US actually has better such protections than most democracies.  The Bill of Rights and the autonomy of states and local governments have in fact protected much of what the rural culture values, such as gun ownership and freedom of religion (though not freedom to discriminate on grounds of religious taboo, which is a different thing).  But in a real democracy, the majority wins elections even if it cannot thereby completely override the rights of the minority.

The defense of the EC is really a defense of the idea that the votes of people in cities (and of blacks and Latinos, who mostly vote Democratic whether urban or not) should count for less than those of people in the numerous thinly-populated states of the interior.  It's an argument for special political privileges for a minority, and we should say so at every opportunity.

30 November 2016

The evil and the good

Last week I posted this round-up of hateful Trumpanzee behavior, and recently there's been much attention given to the asshole on the Delta plane and the asshole in the Michael's shop.  Now comes a case of Trumpanzee trolls celebrating the suicide of a trans woman and taunting her family.  Trump's "victory", even though it's an artifact of the Electoral College, has brought a lot of evil out of the woodwork, and we're going to see more of it over time.

But there is good as well, and we will need to rally its power to fight the evil, especially when Trumpanzees target the vulnerable, as they seem so inclined to do.  This hidden-camera test of human reactions to bigotry in Farmers Branch, Texas, was done five years ago, but it remains an example of what people can and will do when challenged.

There's more, of course.  Here's a current case of ordinary people rising to the occasion.  2,000 military veterans have signed up to act as "human shields" for Indian protesters at Standing Rock.  Delta has permabanned the above-cited asshole and refunded the ticket prices to at least some passengers who were afflicted by his diatribe.  And remember the private-sector boycotts in response to anti-gay laws in Indiana, North Carolina, and other places.

Our side has temporarily lost the Presidency.  We still won the popular vote, we still have humanity on our side, and we will still win the war.

28 November 2016

A political fantasy

Trump isn't Hitler, he's Gilderoy Lockhart.

It's long been clear that Trump has very little idea of what being President actually involves.  He likely didn't expect to win -- his complaints about election-rigging sounded like face-saving before an anticipated defeat.  Since the election, and particularly after his early meetings with Obama, he's been realizing what he's gotten himself into.  And he's sometimes seemed rather daunted by it, something especially striking in a man who usually projects such boundless self-confidence.

It's possible that, deep down, he wishes there were a way out.  He's already talking about living part of the time in New York instead of the White House, treating the Presidency as a part-time job and leaving as much of the real work as possible to others.  He'll soon learn, if he hasn't already, that that won't work.  Most of the President's power is non-transferable, and therefore, so is most of the responsibility.

But he still has an escape available, in the unlikely event that he has the imagination to use it.

Much has been made recently of the fact that the Electors who meet on December 19 to actually choose the President are technically free to "vote their consciences" rather than following the outcomes in their respective states.  Lawrence Lessig, David Halperin, and others have made the case that, given Trump's obvious unfitness for office and Hillary Clinton's large popular-vote margin of victory, they should exercise that power and elect her.  They are, of course, very unlikely to do so.  Most Electors are reliable party members, or they wouldn't be chosen for the position.  Unless the recounts currently under way in some states produce new results, 38 Trump Electors would need to abandon him for this to work.  That would be unprecedented.

But if Trump wants a way out of the daunting position he's put himself in, this is it.  If he himself were to inform the Electors that, upon reflection, he thinks the will of the people as shown in the popular vote should be respected after all and asks them to elect Hillary, they would have a green light to do what many of them, deep down, must know they ought to do anyway (aside from Trump's unfitness, Republicans must realize that a disastrous Trump Presidency could mean a backlash against the party in 2018 and 2020).  And Trump could tell himself he'd be acclaimed as a man of principle who gave up power for the sake of democracy, rather than being remembered as a (probably) failed President or as a quitter who chickened out and resigned in frustration at some point in his term.

Even that wouldn't mean Hillary would win then and there.  Some Republican Electors might prefer to vote for a more mainstream Republican such as Romney or Kasich.  If no one candidate got 270 votes, the decision would move to the Republican-dominated House, which would then face the excruciating choice of giving the Presidency to either (a) Hillary, whom Republicans loathe, or (b) Trump, whom many of them know is unqualified and who would already have signaled he was renouncing the job, or (c) a third candidate who didn't get any of the popular vote.  Remember, though that Democrats do control some state delegations in the House.  If the Republicans were divided, Hillary still could win.

As I say, this is a fantasy.  I don't expect it to happen.  But it would be a win-win-solution for pretty much everyone (except the Trumpanzees, who are soon going to realize anyway that they've been conned).  And it would be a fittingly bizarre end to a bizarre election.

27 November 2016

Link round-up for 27 November 2016

Let your dog help with the cooking.  But then, let sleeping dogs lie.

Grammar is scary.

Crazy Eddie looks at Westworld and Jurassic Park.

No stamps needed.

Boo Mike Pence!

Cool tables.

Trumpanzees R dumb.

Progressive Eruptions has some spectacular nature scenery.

So that's what the B is.

Do not use this picture.  Probably shouldn't use this one either.

I've noticed this (found via Squatlo).

Murr Brewster looks at dead Russians.

Check out Radisson Claire's fantasy sea-creature art.

Ranch Chimp looks at the most wonderful time of year, when people celebrate Jesus by fighting over consumer electronics in shopping malls.

Any day of the week is a good day for Small Business Saturday.

Don't worry about making nice.

It's still our America (found via Fair and Unbalanced).

Here's video of the water-cannon attack on Standing Rock protesters (in sub-zero weather).  People are suffering serious injuries.

A wingnut struggles to defend the Electoral College.

Another Trumpanzee shows his true character.

So, how should people protest?

Christians are not exempt from the law, at least for now.

What does "alt-right" really mean?  Here's a high-profile example.

For women in countries where abortion is banned, the internet offers help.

Finland's Parikkala Sculpture Park may be the creepiest park in the world.

Enough with the adulation for a tyrant.

Why don't they just go back where they came from?

Palmyra is liberated, but the damage done by Dâ'ish (ISIL) is tragic.

I'm a bit skeptical of this report on electromagnetic space propulsion (found via Mendip).  The referenced paper is by NASA personnel, but doesn't seem to suggest a major breakthrough, and I can't find anything about it on NASA's own website.  Still, the subject may bear watching.

The Dawn probe has been sending back beautifully-detailed images of Ceres.

Another way to search for alien intelligence:  scanning the atmospheres of planets in other solar systems for evidence of industrial pollution.

Some of the world's poorest countries commit to strong action against global warming.

Some people are happy about Trump's win.  Here's a quick summary of what's going on.

Hillary's popular-vote victory margin just keeps growing -- she probably got more votes than any previous candidate except Obama.  Harvard law professor Lawrence Lessig makes the case that the Electors should choose her, not Trump, on Dec. 19.

Green Eagle suspects Trump is just an ordinary Republican in a Nazi clown suit.

After years of ranting against Obamacare, Republicans are now the dog that caught the car.

Trump is softening his position on the Paris climate agreement, and other countries are not backing down.

The wingnutosphere is aghast at Trump's reversal on persecuting Hillary (found via Mock Paper Scissors).  I suspect there's a lot more "being aghast" in their future.

Trump verbally disavows the "alt-right", but I think the real test will be whether he sticks with the Bannon appointment.  Stop being afraid.

Only one thing makes the media do their job.

Trumpanzees voted to hurt themselves, but we all have to live with the results.  How soon will they understand what they've done and who he really is?

If you want to take action, these groups can use your money.

No longer a party, but a criminal enterprise.

Best news from the election:  North Carolina's McCrory lost, even if he doesn't know it yet.

We haven't heard the last of Obama.

Should Democrats cooperate with Trump on some issues?  Our leaders take a pragmatic view.

[Image at top:  the Lion of al-Lât, an ancient pagan statue in Palmyra destroyed by Dâ'ish]

23 November 2016

The nature of the Trumpanzee

A look at the opposition:

Found via Progressive Eruptions.

Found via SEB, who has more examples.

Found via Green Eagle.

A flyer distributed at Texas State University.  Found via Progressive Eruptions.

This happened just a few miles from where I live -- Beaverton is a suburb of liberal Portland ("Max" is the local commuter train system).  Found via the SPLC, which has more examples.

Yes, these people are celebrating the election of Trump.  Found via Hackwhackers, which has explanation and context.  More here, found via Progressive Eruptions, and more here.


Some Trumpanzees are starting a campaign to drive distraught liberals over the edge into suicide (found via Progressive Eruptions).

An Iowa Republican state rep is pushing a law to impose fines on colleges which offer counseling or therapy to students upset about Trump's election.

These idiots can't even draw swastikas correctly.  Nor can they identify a Muslim reliably.

Triumphant Trumpanzees are threatening and assaulting Hispanics, gays, and other minorities.

A commenter at right-wing forum Race 4 2016 claims that these "hateful things" are being done by liberals posing as Trump supporters -- and in a day-long open thread, not one other commenter calls him out on such nonsense.

This is the enemy.  I'm feeling more and more drawn to Badtux's view of these people.

21 November 2016

Video of the day -- the meaning of (after)life

20 November 2016

Link round-up for 20 November 2016

I'm very glad these giant animals are extinct (FFS, a one-ton rodent?).

If you use search-and-replace, proofread afterwards.

Use a car to display stupidity.

When designing a logo, get a second opinion.

We can dream, right?

OK, some art is bullshit.

Maybe alien abductions are something like this.

Pwned by a Girl Guide (found via TYWKIWDBI).

Trump starts recruiting his team.

Colorado just accidentally endorsed slavery (link from Mendip).

I'm glad to see Portland on the cutting edge of religious pluralism, even if the usual turkeys don't like it.

Choose a different airline, not this one.

A new TV show looks at ethical questions involving artificial intelligence that the real world may soon have to face (found via Crazy Eddie).

There should be no stigma on having fun alone.

What if we're wrong?

Some of these websites could be kind of useful.

Yes, this person knows all about "classy".

There's a spooky graveyard of well-preserved medieval ships at the bottom of the Black Sea.

Dan Dennett's upcoming book looks well worth reading.

Watch for suspicious characters on aircraft.

Social media are bringing back medieval shame punishments.

Electric cars are becoming more mainstream.

2015 saw a surge in hate crimes against Muslims, with gays and Jews being even more targeted.  The SPLC has logged over 400 harassment incidents since the election.  Here are more examples and another one (found via SEB).  There's already a lot of fear out there.

Politics Plus looks at some recent news items.

Here are some tips on electronic privacy protection.

Beware of sites pushing fake information -- there are a lot of them.

"Pro-lifers" don't do that.

Here are some better alternatives to turkey.

What is it about Christians being assholes to waitresses?

Phil Robertson is at least being honest about fundamentalist beliefs.

Some technology leaders in California now support "Calexit" from the US -- see also my own speculations here.

A top NSA official confirms that Russia interfered in the election.

Chemists finally understand London's deadly Great Smog of 1952 (it involved coal).

No cowboy is tougher than Hamburg's "swan father".

After fifteen years, Portugal's drug decriminalization is a clear success.

The Russians know how to build a cool statue.

Kaveh Mousavi has some words of encouragement for Americans -- and explains why Trump can't destroy the nuclear deal with Iran.

Good riddance -- the Iraqi army has killed over a thousand Dâ'ish (ISIL) fanatics in Mosul.

"Authoritarian democracies" like India and Turkey illustrate the kind of bullying tactics a President Trump might use here.  Such tactics thrive best in societies that have succumbed to identity politics and quasi-tribal divisions -- at the end of this post I warned about thinking of people as members of categories rather than as individuals.

This is Moscow in winter.

In India, young girls are bought and sold like beasts.

If Trump gives up US leadership on global warming, China is prepared to step up.  China is also well positioned in Latin America in case he destroys our relationships there.

Frozen ancient organisms are coming back to life.

There may be a huge ocean where we'd least expect it.

Young blood may actually have rejuvenating properties.  To break through the apparent upper limit on human lifespans, we'll have to strike at the fundamentals of the aging process.

A hydrothermal vent in Chile bolsters the case for life on Mars.

If intelligent aliens exist, they're probably machines.

How should Democrats approach the Trumpanzees?  Booman Tribune and Badtux the Snarky Penguin offer radically different perspectives.  Maybe we should allow for different cases.

Progressive Eruptions has a round-up on the vile Steve Bannon.  Bloomberg suggests how he might be stopped (found via Fair and Unbalanced).

Mary Madigan finds a positive in the prospect of Giuliani as Secretary of State.

Trump's going wobbly on "the wall".

We dodged a terrible fate.  Or maybe not.

The Field Negro makes the case that vote suppression won the election for Trump. And he's already seen enough of the tone Trump is setting.

The Electoral College could elect Hillary, but it almost certainly won't.

We don't really know what Trump will do, since Trump himself doesn't seem to know.  In fact, he doesn't seem to know much of anything.

If you want to protest, don't tolerate crap like this.

Trump says gay marriage is safe; abortion, maybe not.  New York state acts to guarantee abortion access, just in case (found via Zandar).

Here's that conversation between Carl Higbie and Megyn Kelly on a Muslim registry.  The head of the ADL has a forceful response.  Trump doesn't seem to have thought this through.

Trump's stance on renewable energy is confusing, but it's probably here to stay regardless.

[Several items found via Squatlo Rant]

18 November 2016

More little fellahs

Enough of this crap.  Have some cute puppies.

16 November 2016

A lurch toward theocracy

The Republicans have a nasty theocratic surprise waiting for us -- the grotesquely misnamed "First Amendment Defense Act", which is in fact a national version of the pro-discrimination "religious freedom" laws enacted in places like Indiana and North Carolina over the last few years.  So far from "defending" the First Amendment, it would make religious taboos and prejudices a blanket excuse for violating the equal protection clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, preventing the federal government from enforcing any limit on discrimination when that discrimination is motivated by religion.  Any form of discrimination against gays would become legal under federal law.  Obstruction of access to birth control, or to pretty much anything else that some knuckle-dragger decides he doesn't like, would be similarly protected.

Check out the link above and see for yourself.  The author is not exaggerating when he says that "if it becomes law, FADA will be the worst thing to happen to women and LGBT people in a generation."  At some point after Trump takes office, the Republicans will doubtless introduce the thing in the House.  Assuming it makes it to Trump's desk, he's said he will sign it.

A few thoughts on this:

1)  Contrary to the author's view, we can't count on a Senate filibuster to stop this.  When we assumed Hillary would be the next President, we were prepared to eliminate the filibuster in order to prevent the Republicans from blocking her Supreme Court nominees.  I have no doubt that they will eliminate it if necessary in order to ram their own plans through, however radical.

2)  A better option would be trying to turn moderate Republicans against it.  At the moment it looks like their Senate majority will be reduced to 52 -- we would only need three of them to vote no.

3)  It's conceivable that even Trump could be persuaded to change his mind.  He's already reversed or moderated his position on Obamacare and the Iran nuclear deal, among other things.  And he doesn't seem to be particularly prejudiced against gays or birth control.

4)  If the FADA does get enacted, state-level protections against discrimination will remain intact, so some states will have them and others will not.  The recent experience of Indiana and North Carolina suggests that states which fail to enact their own protections, or at least those which explicitly endorse discrimination, will face a substantial backlash from the private sector -- opposing religious bigotry is good for business.  Some, at least, will be brought into line that way.

5)  Finally, if the FADA ends up before the Supreme Court, it's likely to be found in violation of the Fourteenth Amendment and thrown out.  Obviously this will no longer be the case if Trump packs the Court with wingnuts, but that would take time.  Even if he nominates a rabid rightist for the current vacancy, that will merely restore the situation which existed before the death of Scalia.  If the FADA is enacted, one can hope it will come before the Court before a second vacancy occurs.

However, the infuriating task of having to play defense against regression rather than fight for further progress is our lot only because (a) too much of our base failed to vote, and (b) the archaic Electoral College enabled the loser to "win".  Tell the legislators in your state to support the National Popular Vote initiative!

15 November 2016

What we can do about the Electoral College

By the time all the vote-counting is done, it will likely turn out that Hillary Clinton got about two million more votes than Trump (link found via Progressive Eruptions) -- a margin of about 2%, not too different from her lead in the RCP average shortly before the election.  This may be of some comfort to pollsters, and in some ways to the rest of us as well -- it simply isn't true that a majority of Americans voted for Trump and the collage of bigotries he put forth.  But it does not change the election outcome, which is determined by the Electoral College.

This is the second time in 16 years that the Electoral College gave the Presidency to a candidate who won fewer actual votes than his opponent.  This time it's worse, since the popular-vote lead was more substantial.  There are several problems with the Electoral College -- it over-weights votes in states with small populations, and makes no allowances for differences in turnout between states -- but the biggest problem is that the winner-take-all system in most states means that a razor-thin margin of victory in one state can offset a large margin in another, making millions of votes in the latter state worthless.  That's what happened this time.

There is currently a petition drive urging certain of the electors (they are actual people, not just numbers on a map) to disregard the state-by-state results and elect Hillary in accordance with the total popular vote when they meet on December 19.  I have very mixed feelings about this.  Yes, it would reflect the actual will of the voters.  But it would trigger a Constitutional crisis, and possibly a civil one as well -- just imagine the fury of the Trumpanzees if such a thing happened.  It would also constitute changing the rules after the game is played.  More to the point, it's very unlikely to succeed.  Slates of electors are chosen by their respective parties and are presumably, with rare exceptions, reliable.  They're not going to persuade 38 Republican electors to switch sides and face the wrath of their party (and of millions of enraged, armed Trump voters).

But there's still something we can do about future elections.  Abolishing the Electoral College could only be done by amending the Constitution, a very slow and difficult process.  But there's an ingenious plan in the works which would solve the problem without an amendment.

The National Popular Vote bill is a law available for adoption by any state which chooses to do so.  It works in two steps.  (1) Any state which adopts the law will henceforth award its electoral votes to the candidate who won the most popular votes nationwide, regardless of the vote result in that particular state; and (2) in those states which have adopted the law, it takes actual effect only after it has been adopted by states whose total electoral votes come to more than the 270 needed to win the Electoral College.  So, a state which adopts the law does not lose any of the clout it has under the existing system, but once the critical mass is reached, all those states would be bound to give their electoral votes to the national popular-vote winner, who would therefore become President.

The law has already been adopted by eleven states with 165 electoral votes, including some states where it was Republican-led legislatures that voted to adopt it.  It only needs to be adopted in states with a further 105 electoral votes and it will take effect.

Supporting this initiative is actual action we can take, now and over the next four years.  No problem in history has ever been solved by sitting around complaining about how bad the situation is.  An hour of focused action in support of a solution is worth more than a year of bemoaning the problem.  Obama has spoken of lending his name and efforts to the fight against gerrymandering after he leaves office.  I hope he will consider supporting the National Popular Vote initiative as well, since it works in the same spirit.  Even Trump has reaffirmed that he considers it unfair for the popular-vote loser to win the election, even after being the beneficiary of that very phenomenon last week.  Especially if he doesn't plan to run for a second term due to his age, it's possible he too could support this.

Right now -- after an election where the injustice was compounded by the size of the "defeated" candidate's margin -- is the time to push this initiative hard.

14 November 2016

The con man -- a political speculation

I don't want to get anyone's hopes up only to have them dashed again later.  Consider this just a political speculation, for now.

After Trump's recent meeting with President Obama he said that he no longer supports scrapping Obamacare.  This is something of a shocker, since repealing Obamacare has been a priority -- obsession, really -- of Republicans ever since it was enacted, and Trump vocally supported repeal during the campaign.  He now says he would merely amend it, but even liberals support doing that -- Obamacare is an imperfect beginning limited by the political realities of the time it was passed, to be improved and expanded later. That's how these things normally develop.  Trump's call to ban Muslim immigration has also been quietly removed from his campaign website (both links found via Progressive Eruptions).

Earlier, Trump displayed another odd reversal of position.  On Thursday he denounced the protests against his election win as "very unfair" on Twitter, but the next morning he sent a different message: "Love the fact that the small groups of protesters last night have passion for our great country. We will all come together and be proud!"  Even in his victory speech, when he mentioned his opponent, "crooked Hillary" and "lock her up" were replaced by "we owe her a major debt of gratitude for her service to our country."  And now, he's said he's not going to "rip up" the Iran nuclear deal after all.

What's going on here?  One of the objections to Trump all along among NeverTrump Republicans was that he isn't really a Republican -- he's actually been a Democrat for much of his life, donated mostly to Democratic politicians, held liberal positions on abortion and other issues.  People do change, of course, and most Republicans (and Democrats) accepted his declarations of right-wing views during his recent campaign as being what he really believed.  But what if the reality is something quite different?

I've long thought that Trump, based on his history, is first and foremost a con man.  Trump University, his exaggerations of his wealth, his various schemes over the years that so often seemed to leave anyone else involved in them feeling exploited and ripped off -- it's what he does.  He's made abortive attempts to run for President before, most notably in 2000 with Perot's Reform party; but to have a real chance at winning, you have to be a major-party candidate.  And given his age, 2016 was his last shot.  He must have known he'd have no chance against Hillary for the Democratic nomination, but the absurdly splintered Republican field offered a real opportunity.

Is it possible that what this con man has just done is to pull off the most colossal and spectacular con job in history? Again, I don't want to fall prey to wishful thinking, but what if Trump still holds basically the same views he's held most of his life, and he just spent the last year-and-a-half bullshitting the stupid wingnuts into thinking he's the Second Coming of Hitler so they'd nominate him and then turn out in droves to elect him President?

If it is something like that, he's got no reason to keep up the pretense much longer. He's won.  He's in.  He may not plan to seek a second term (he'll be 74 in 2020), in which case he'd have no reason to worry about losing re-election.  He'll just do whatever the hell he wants.  If he still has the same liberal views he previously held in some areas, he's now free to act on them.  In areas where he has no strong convictions, he may be open to persuasion -- that would explain his shift on Obamacare (let's hope Obama gives him a lecture on global warming soon!), although in fact he's expressed support for socialized health care in the past.  My point is, his actual actions as President may prove to be nothing like his campaign rhetoric.

I am not minimizing the fact that Trump is a terrible human being.  He's repeatedly shown himself to be vindictive and given to petty personal feuds.  In 1973 he was sued for racial discrimination in housing at his properties.  The "grab 'em by the pussy" tape was the real Trump -- he said those things in private at a time when running for President was not on his mind.  I believe the women who have come forward saying he molested them -- their claims are consistent with what he himself has said about his attitudes and behavior.  The woman who sued claiming he raped her when she was 13 did withdraw her suit, but had apparently been receiving threats.  We may never know the facts of that case.  This is not the person we want in the most powerful office on Earth.  I would far, far rather have had Hillary.  But his actions as President may prove to be nothing like what we fear and what the Republicans hope.  We should watch him very carefully and, as Hillary said during her concession speech, with an open mind.

What will truly tell the tale will be his first Supreme Court pick.

And if my speculations here turn out to be true, then when the Republicans figure out what happened..... Jesus, just think how mad they're going to be.  Trump only defeated us, but he conned them.  NeverTrumps will claim vindication, Trumpanzees won't know what the hell to make of it, and the leadership that fell into line behind Trump in the end will be totally discredited.  The wingnuts could be in for a civil war after all.

13 November 2016

Link round-up for 13 November 2016

Protect your valuable books the old-fashioned way -- with curses (found via Mendip).

Fonts matter.

Meth?  Not even once.

Read this short SF story in which aliens make a terrible mistake because of watching TV (found via Sleestak).

If you have to be outside at all, this is the way to do it.

Check out the world's ten weirdest museums.

Fundies hate fun.

Mendip remembers Jack Chick.

Facebook has a serious sexism problem.

"Cultural appropriation" is a toxic concept.

Clarissa has observations on Houston, Texas.

Some black Americans comment on police violence.

The Iraqi army has recaptured the ancient city of Nimrud from Dâ'ish, but the fanatics had already destroyed most of it.

Experimental stem-cell therapy gives a paralyzed man back the use of his arms and hands.

Repealing Obamacare may not be so easy.

Here are some things we won.

TPM's Josh Marshall has some observations on the election.  Politics Plus has a round-up of world headlines and cartoons.

Obama will be much more outspoken out of office.

Here's an open letter to America.  If the election result has you feeling suicidal, read this.  And beware of these assholes (found via Progressive Eruptions).  Some on our side are ready to fight on.  And some have a little local comfort to offer.

Don't confuse protest with vandalism.

Muslim women (more identifiable than the men due to distinctive clothing) are being attacked by emboldened freaks. Guys like this are being emboldened too.  In fact, it's springtime for violent bigots.

This distraction costs Democrats votes.

Here are blogger reactions to the election from Booman Tribune, Crazy Eddie, Bruce Gerencser, Field Negro, Hackwhackers, Comrade Misfit, Squatlo, Mark Evanier, Zandar, and Driftglass.

[Image at top:  an exhibit at the Sex Museum in Amsterdam]

12 November 2016

Dancing to the Republicans' tune

Recriminations are natural in the wake of a defeat, but the urge to cast blame and purge this or that element out of the Democratic coalition must be resisted.  Dividing ourselves just makes future defeats more likely.  There's one example that especially concerns me.

It's long been a dream of the Republicans to get as much of the white population as possible to vote Republican as a self-conscious racial bloc in the same way that blacks overwhelmingly vote Democratic.  Non-Hispanic whites are still almost two-thirds of the national population.  If they were to vote primarily along racial lines, the party they supported would win every election overwhelmingly.  No rival party would ever stand the ghost of a chance.

It doesn't happen because for most white Americans, other traits -- religion (or lack thereof), ideology, social class, gender, sexual orientation, and so on -- are a more important part of their identity than race is and have more impact on how they vote.  (Obviously the same distinctions exist among people of other races too, but being a target of racism tends to loom larger.)  But there are forces trying to herd white people collectively into a race-conscious Republican voting bloc.  Unfortunately some of those forces are on the left.

I'm referring to the meme seen on a few blogs and forums that white people are collectively to blame for Trump's election because most of those who voted for him were white (here is an example, but I've seen several others in the mere four days since the election, and yes, the people doing this are often white themselves).  I can't imagine anything the Republicans would want more than to see this kind of talk become widespread.  A big part of the reason so few blacks or gays vote Republican is that they know the Republicans in general are bigoted against them, and voting for someone who is bigoted against you is practically unthinkable, regardless of any other issues.  Trying to trigger a similar rejectionist response in two-thirds of the electorate is the stupidest thing the left could possibly do.  Stop it.

Tens of millions of white people are liberals.  Tens of millions of white people voted for Obama (and Hillary).  Tens of millions of white people were aghast at the election result this week.  I am not anyone's enemy just because of what I look like, and no one has any right to treat me as such.